Showing posts with label Jet Airways. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jet Airways. Show all posts

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Simply India

"I don't see any major problem for the deal" quoting India's Civil Aviation minister as the JetIhad deal was put on hold by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SCIB). Both have requested more details on the deal in terms of how much control Etihad will have in Jet Airways relative to its 24% stake. The issue seems to be all about effective management and control. Etihad and Jet Airways will meet both regulators requirements, it is not in their interest no to.

After the approval of the FIPB, the issue will be presented to the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs for final approval. 

It is not that the various regulators require clarifications that is a problem in India. It is the fact that one regulator approves the deal and things start moving along before the others clear it. One would think that there is a well thought out process for approving FDI, having talked about it so much, obviously not. 


Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Thoughts on Emirates Response to Jetihad



This post was first published in Bangalore Aviation as a part of a guest post titled Three-way Analysis: How does Emirates respond to Jetihad? written in collaboration with Devesh Agarwal and Vinay Bhaskara of Bangalore Aviation. This blog has been enhanced with their insight of the Indian aviation industry and government dynamics.

The Indian government has the knack of making interesting decisions like encouraging Air India to dump prices to gain market share causing mayhem in the market place and increasing Air India’s losses or Allowing Air Asia to invest in Indian aviation by approving a JV with the Tata and Bhatia group, creating an LCC that will put pressure on Indigo and SpiceJet. The latest was quadrupling the number of seats between India and Abu Dhabi which will benefit mostly Jet Airways and Etihad or Jetihad. 


In a Bangalore Aviation recent blog (http://www.bangaloreaviation.com/2013/04/infographic-airline-wise-share-of.html ) on International Traffic Share in and out of India showed Jet Airways share at 16.01%, Emirates at 13.04% and Etihad at 1.95%. The India market is important to the GCC carriers it provides feed to MENA, Europe and North America, a market that is being developed by these carriers with a station starting almost every month, the latest is Qatar Airways to Philadelphia. The latest India/UAE bilateral will almost double the allocated per week seats of Jetihad over Emirates.


Dubai has unofficially asked for a doubling of the per week seat allocation but requested an increase from 54200 to 72400 seats per week. 


Emirates can opt for an FDI in one of the LCCs and collect the prize of added capacity, an unlikely option after their earlier experience with SriLankan.


One option is for Emirates to code share with one of the large domestic players like Indigo or SpiceJet in order to increase its India feed and encourage them to operate into Dubai. Emirates currently code share with Jet Airways on the Mumbai and Delhi daily flights to Dubai. Flydubai flies only to three destinations Hyderabad, Ahmedabad and Lucknow and would like to increase its India destinations (which is less than 2% of its capacity). Flydubai is capable to fly to smaller secondary airports providing feed to Emirates through the link on their respective websites.


Code sharing is a short term solution. Ultimately, the real solution has to be through the India-UAE bilateral. Emirates needs the increased capacity for itself and Flydubai. Emirates can leverage Dubai’s position as a global hub and destination for Indians. Indians are the top expatriate investors in Dubai property (9 Billion AED) and the UAE is the second trading partner of India and has billions of dollars in investments. Add to the mix, almost two (2) million NRIs living in the UAE, a good proportion affluent. Dubai can also leverage its stature in the UAE to push the boundaries of the bilateral. Jetihad has shown that Air India and indeed the airline industry interests can be put aside by the government if the stakes and overall benefits are framed correctly. 

How Emirates and by extension Flydubai and indeed Air Arabia will frame their argument remains to be seen. Regardless, with the lack of a clear India Aviation Policy, the government will react to a properly framed request.

Saturday, April 27, 2013

April, A Month of Surprises and Controversies

April has been an interesting month for Etihad and the region. No surprises, well maybe a few small ones.

The big news is Etihad's 24% equity stake in Jet Airways for $379 million, no surprises here.
This will increase Etihad's reach in India which was only 2% of India's international traffic in 2011/2012. It will also provide Jet Airways with an international hub in Abu Dhabi. The equity stake will come with the usual joint fuel purchases, insurance, maintenance and ground handling, etc. to save both airlines money.
 
The surprise is, two days later, the Indian Government signing an agreement with the UAE allowing for 50,000 seats weekly for each side from the current 13000 between India and Abu Dhabi phased in over 3 years. A move that miffed Indian carriers, and Jet airways wants 41600 seats (its current share is 4285 seats). So far so good, except Air India is now faced with a problem much bigger than Emirates. A GCC airline with a tremendous Indian market reach and feed. Air India is expected to get its act together and start competing, ah well more likely they will ask for more government subsidy, at a cost to the taxpayer which is much more than Etihad's FDI.

FDI was intended to inject foreign investment in the existing airlines to allow them to expand.
Well maybe not, earlier the Indian government approved a joint venture between Air Asia and the Tata Group, Air Asia India. A low cost airline that will compete with Spice Jet and Indigo. The two airlines least affected by the Etihad/Jet Airways deal. That will keep the aviation market in India in a state of flux.

Another surprise is a code share agreement between Air Canada and yes Etihad. Two years back a request for additional frequencies and destinations for Etihad and Emirates had Air Canada up in arms to the point that it strained diplomatic relations to the point the UAE government revoked the entry visa at arrival for Canadians among other things. Things have been improving and Canadians got their visas on arrival privileges back. It seems Air Canada realized there are Canadians living in the UAE.

Abu Dhabi was in the center of some controversy, a DHS proposal for a US Immigration and Customs pre clearance arrangement in Abu Dhabi. This had US Carriers, A4A and others complaining, putting it mildly, that this will provide an advantage to a foreign carrier in a city where no US carriers operate. Well, that prompted Dubai to put itself forward as an alternative, after all both Delta and United operate to Dubai and Emirates has more USA frequencies. I am sure we will be hearing about this in the coming few weeks.

Of course the old complaint of EXIM bank financing of foreign airlines' aircraft purchases came up again. Delta and others do not like it, according to them it affords foreign competitors owned by governments an undue advantage. These days competing aircraft are almost technically and operationally similar, so financing tips the balance. Europe has ECA to support Airbus, go figure Delta. Considering that US carriers don't even consider the MENA market worthwhile, taking the amount of direct flights to the region as an indication, the only thing it will achieve is loss of jobs at Boeing and their suppliers. US carriers have to learn to compete on service, I mean service comparable to GCC and Asian airlines and of course it would help if they increase the frequency from a daily flight to Dubai to a few other destinations in the region.

Last but not least, Qatar is demanding and Canada is resisting a request to move the ICAO headquarters from Montreal, where it has been since 1947. The reasons are location (too far for Europe and Asia), harsh winters, high taxes and of course visas, Canada makes it hard for delegates to get visas. Qatar proposed Doha as an alternative and is ready to build the new head quarters and fund the UN agency's running costs starting from 2017 (the lease for the HQ ends at the end of 2016)

On the lighter side of things passenger traffic increased in MENA and a few airlines were profitable!




Wednesday, February 27, 2013

ETIHAD, FDI And India

The Indian government introduced Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to support the airlines who were suffering from over capacity and low yields. The demise of Kingfisher helped alleviate the capacity problems but showed the depth of the banks' exposure to the sector especially for Air India and Kingfisher. FDI was meant to provide needed cash that cannot be obtained from stretched banks.

This prompted Etihad to look at Jet Airways with a view of purchasing a 24% stake for about 400 million USD (ETIHAD And India). Etihad negotiated and completed its due diligence, when the  deal slowed down over Etihad's fears of government policy changes that will force it to exit the investment (Gulf Air and Kuwait Airways, the original shareholders in Jet Airways were forced to divest their investment in Tailwinds, the holding company in October 1997). The Indian government has since given assurances to the UAE government and Etihad that the investment is safe and investing in India in general is safe and profitable.

However, on 27 February 2013 Etihad announced the purchase and lease back of three pairs of Jet Airways slots at London Heathrow for 70 million USD, an indication that the deal is still ongoing.

Speaking of Indian government policy, Air Asia has applied for a joint venture with Tata Sons Ltd and Bhatia's Telestra Tradeplace PVT Ltd to start Air Asia India. While the JV is not outside the FDI rules, it does add capacity to the market and will in the short term destabilize it. 

Saturday, November 24, 2012

ETIHAD And India

Stories ( click here for story ) are circulating that Etihad is eyeing a 24% stake in Jet Airways worth Four hundred (400) millions USD. This will mark the first FDI in Indian Aviation in a long time, even though it is well below the allowed 49% by the latest government FDI rules. Etihad signed a code share agreement in 2008 with Jet Airways and is listed as an Etihad Partner on Etihad's website www.etihad.com

Jet Airways is a candidate to join Star Alliance along with Air India. It is to be noted that Air India was refused entry for not meeting Star Alliance requirements. ( click here for story ). This will give Etihad a  linkup with all three major alliances; Airberlin in Oneworld, Jet Airways in Star Alliance and the share code agreement with AF-KLM in Skyteam, without actually joining any of them.

Another first for Etihad.....Kudos

Labels

1 Goal 2010 2012 2013 9/11 AA ADAC AVOD AWST Abu Dhabi Air Arabia Air Canada Air India Airberlin American Airlines Amman B707-300C B767 B777 B787 BA Bahrain Bahrain Air BangaloreAviation Boeing British Airways Business Aviation CO Cabin Crew Canada Commercials Continuous Improvement Culture Customer Service DFW DTW DWC Delta Detroit Metro Doha Dubai Dubai Air Show ET409 ETS EU Emergency Response Emirates Etihad FA FAA Flight Attendants Flightglobal GACA GAMCO GCC GOL Galaxy Tablet Greece Green Gulf Air Hala Hamburg Hopenhagen Human Resources IFE India Iran Iraq Iraqi Airways Jaffa Jazeera Airways Jet Airways Jordan Just Culture Kuwait Airways LA LCC MEA MEBAA MENA MRO MROAM Michigan Oneworld Palestine Philadelphia Privatization QAIA Qantas Qatar Qatar Airways Quality Quick Service Restaurant ROTANAJET Radio Repair Stations Risk Royal Jordanian SAT SKYTEAM SMS Safety Sanctions. Sao Jose Dos campos Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabian Airlines Security Sharjah Airport SimliFlying Simplicity Southern California Southwest Airlines Star Alliance Sudan Airways TSA Technology Toulouse Training Turkey Twitter UA UAE UBM US Airways VIA Rail Violin Vision Wataniya Airways aircraft airlines airports ambitions aviation branding change chapter 11 communication community compliance contingency continuity cost effective creativity curricula efficiency emergency employees environment family flight(s) flydubai globalisation happy health home leadership low cost maintenance management manpower motivation passengers passion people planet earth professional road roots social media support target teachers terrorism tolerance tourism traffic transition travel volcanic ash
 
Top Blogs
Powered By Invesp